Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 4.868657 5.785011 6.802385 8.012238 9.408148 10.964447 12.827051
2025-08-03 3.533663 4.710496 6.149510 8.024357 10.386613 13.246968 16.953272
2025-08-10 2.598289 3.823848 5.450380 7.736350 10.830024 14.830224 20.345018
2025-08-17 1.982073 3.184537 4.899148 7.471114 11.168297 16.216556 23.538153
2025-08-24 1.612892 2.800903 4.604816 7.467021 11.797536 17.986336 27.346098
2025-08-31 1.341727 2.503261 4.371158 7.488505 12.424360 19.765973 31.280386
2025-09-07 1.111550 2.221613 4.106816 7.405761 12.853755 21.259451 34.885182
2025-09-14 0.887502 1.902248 3.722730 7.061886 12.808793 21.996665 37.371073
2025-09-21 0.753555 1.720763 3.543504 7.029233 13.249647 23.506498 41.146016
2025-09-28 0.643174 1.562020 3.377742 6.990895 13.662828 24.986668 44.962684
2025-10-05 0.603139 1.541148 3.468079 7.428056 14.943821 27.996956 51.491996
2025-10-12 0.546781 1.472939 3.453242 7.659182 15.867059 30.456834 57.253169
2025-10-19 0.505911 1.434726 3.498977 8.023599 17.089821 33.561895 64.393730
2025-10-26 0.439729 1.321837 3.369322 8.017524 17.607265 35.453983 69.556480
2025-11-02 0.363732 1.166044 3.118963 7.724304 17.528146 36.246422 72.806561
2025-11-09 0.302100 1.032654 2.896377 7.457809 17.467567 37.055357 76.123637
2025-11-16 0.264362 0.956813 2.798046 7.453222 17.941135 38.904296 81.472610
2025-11-23 0.233049 0.892035 2.716167 7.474515 18.467707 40.887350 87.191251
2025-11-30 0.201525 0.818068 2.597642 7.391860 18.756665 42.413725 92.119414
2025-12-07 0.164874 0.716179 2.385237 7.048543 18.426528 42.657442 94.546870
2025-12-14 0.144229 0.663660 2.300744 7.015940 18.798719 44.367335 99.981768
2025-12-21 0.126143 0.614992 2.218528 6.977665 19.151734 46.056951 105.470135
2025-12-28 0.122945 0.623312 2.309281 7.414098 20.676523 50.342917 116.508132